Finance & economics | Free exchange

Emerging-market central-bank experiments risk reigniting inflation

New policies could undermine two decades of progress

When prices began to rise unusually quickly two years ago, one group was fastest to react: emerging-market central bankers. They realised inflation had arrived for the long haul well before their peers in rich countries, and kept raising interest rates as prices soared. In policymaking environments as difficult as Brazil and Russia officials have resisted pressure from politicians to cut rates. This follows two decades in which emerging-market central bankers pulled off the impressive feat of bringing down inflation in places where it had seemed intractable. The whole period has been a triumph not just for the officials involved, but for the economists who insisted on the need for independent central banks in emerging economies—and for them to focus on keeping prices stable, just like policymakers in rich countries.

This article appeared in the Finance & economics section of the print edition under the headline “Laboratory accidents”

From the March 11th 2023 edition

Discover stories from this section and more in the list of contents

Explore the edition
Commercial trucks cross over the Ambassador Bridge from Detroit, Michigan to Windsor, Ontario

Trump’s tariff turbulence is worse than anyone imagined

Even his concessions are less generous than expected

Illustration of a gold bar with human-like arms and legs, wearing a gold medal.

Why silver is the new gold

Safe-haven demand and solar panels have sent its price soaring


US-POLITICS-TRUMP-ECONOMY-CLIMATE-ENERGY

Trump’s new tariffs are his most extreme ever

America targets its three biggest trading partners: Canada, Mexico and China


El Salvador’s wild crypto experiment ends in failure 

Its curtailment is the price of an IMF bail-out. And one worth paying 

America is at risk of a Trumpian economic slowdown

Protectionist threats and erratic policies are combining to hurt growth

India has undermined a popular myth about development

Extreme poverty in the country has dropped to negligible levels